tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-23077414.post5551797056439429759..comments2023-10-12T09:29:51.035-05:00Comments on The Podium: Print Is Doomed, Electronic Media Set To BoomRev. Christopher J. Pattonhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/15020185341644873695noreply@blogger.comBlogger7125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-23077414.post-15483442825592054832008-12-19T12:45:00.000-06:002008-12-19T12:45:00.000-06:00Only time will tell. But I'm pretty confident I'm ...Only time will tell. But I'm pretty confident I'm right. In any case, I'm glad to see that you've at least gone from claiming that such technology would never exist to admitting that it will likely exist eventually, just not as soon as I think. Given the exponential nature of the development of various key information technologies, your conservative linear view of development is, I think, quite dubious.<BR/><BR/>Finally, the nature of the electronic displays that will be used is really quite tangential to my argument about the future of the newspaper industry anyway. Even if we don't get flexible screens as soon as I think, print is still dying. The economic numbers on that are starkly clear.Rev. Christopher J. Pattonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15020185341644873695noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-23077414.post-78972932045806572952008-12-19T09:12:00.000-06:002008-12-19T09:12:00.000-06:00And you accuse me of manufacturing straw men to ma...And you accuse me of manufacturing straw men to make my arguments? Hypocrite.<BR/><BR/><I>"No, you're just not following the relevant technology and business news that I do."</I><BR/><BR/>Only about 50% true. Clearly I'm not following <I>technology</I> news with the level of wide-eyed optimism you are. See the afore-provided link on the pneumatic subway. While Business Wire may publish some tech news, there is no "business news" about electronic paper because there are no electronic paper on the open market.<BR/><BR/><I>"Also, are you really suggesting that most consumers don't prefer larger screens to smaller ones? Because readily available market data shows that people do."</I><BR/><BR/>Statistics are statistics. See again my comments on eReader devices. People may be buying bigger HDTVs than ever before, but they're also buying <A HREF="http://blog.laptopmag.com/first-look-at-the-dell-mini-inspiron-mini-notebook" REL="nofollow">smaller</A> <A HREF="http://blog.laptopmag.com/acer-aspire-one-an-in-depth-look" REL="nofollow">laptops</A> and <A HREF="http://www.gadgetreview.com/2008/10/blackberry-storm-launch-party-la.html" REL="nofollow">cell</A> <A HREF="http://www.gadgetreview.com/2008/12/gadget-rumor-iphone-nano-leaked-by-a-protective-case.html" REL="nofollow">phones</A> than ever before. I shouldn't have to explain to you the benefits of portable tech, irrespective of the satisfaction of a large screen.<BR/><BR/>The examples of ePaper technology people blog about are not products ready for market, even with several years' development they're still mockups and protoypes, which puts them way behind the curve in hopes of becoming the next wave in consumer media tech.<BR/><BR/>In the far future when battery and flash memory technology are also radically evolved from what we know now, folding-screen newspaper-devices might be practical, but I don't expect to see it on the market before I had grandkids. It's just too experimental and alternative relative to other ideas on the drawing board.tacohttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01661344975130655338noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-23077414.post-90149047677330695492008-12-13T23:26:00.000-06:002008-12-13T23:26:00.000-06:00Also, are you really suggesting that most consumer...Also, are you really suggesting that most consumers don't prefer larger screens to smaller ones? Because readily available market data shows that people do.<BR/><BR/>I don't know about you, but I'd much rather read any long piece of text off of a surface the size of the average novel's page as opposed to even the entire side of an iPhone. The currently available interface for such activities isn't at all good. However, a phone that folded out into a screen four times the width and height of the device in its most compact state would solve this problem nicely. And that's still not the size or shape of a newspaper.Rev. Christopher J. Pattonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15020185341644873695noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-23077414.post-59911045171083240582008-12-13T21:45:00.000-06:002008-12-13T21:45:00.000-06:00No, you're just not following the relevant technol...No, you're just not following the relevant technology and business news that I do. If you don't know the differences between LCD, LED, OLED, and quantum dots, then you don't know enough to be able to debate where display technology is headed. Quantum dots and transparent transistors embedded in a flexible, clear substance will allow all sorts of interesting applications. And as we get better at assembling devices at the molecular level, we'll be able to do some pretty odd things. I share relevant articles in these fields through Google Reader all the time.Rev. Christopher J. Pattonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15020185341644873695noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-23077414.post-49461418834444512802008-12-11T18:16:00.000-06:002008-12-11T18:16:00.000-06:00"I never said electronic paper 'must be shaped lik...<I>"I never said electronic paper 'must be shaped like a newspaper.'"</I><BR/><BR/>How does that statement significantly differ from this exactly?<BR/><BR/><I>"However, these devices will make use of flexible screen technology that will allow a device the size of a cell phone to either fold or roll out into a more reasonably sized screen."</I><BR/><BR/>Go back to my post and actually read it, trying to follow what I'm saying instead of searching for Waldo.tacohttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01661344975130655338noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-23077414.post-88672880372755222602008-12-10T17:18:00.000-06:002008-12-10T17:18:00.000-06:00I never said electronic paper "must be shaped like...I never said electronic paper "must be shaped like a newspaper." It's just a name for a type of technology and doesn't imply any particular format. As usual, you're happily attacking a straw man of your own making.<BR/><BR/>There are several key factors to consider when contemplating an electronic replacement for paper-based newspapers. Such devices must be readable, portable, and cheap. Electronic paper technology will do all three of these things. Of course cell phones, mp3 players, etc. will likely continue to be most people's devices of choice. However, these devices will make use of flexible screen technology that will allow a device the size of a cell phone to either fold or roll out into a more reasonably sized screen. Such devices already exist as prototypes.<BR/><BR/>In any case, if current trends continue multiple American cities will be without daily papers in another year and a half or two. So, whatever happens, there are some major changes coming in the near future.Rev. Christopher J. Pattonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15020185341644873695noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-23077414.post-82669463950963642762008-12-10T06:33:00.000-06:002008-12-10T06:33:00.000-06:00This is simply not going to happen, Chris. Electro...This is simply not going to happen, Chris. Electronic paper is an impractical techno-punk novelty in the vein of the <A HREF="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Beach_Pneumatic_Transit" REL="nofollow">pneumatic subway</A>. It would be a step backwards to try and perfect and market this technology to consumers when laptops and PDAs and Blackberries and 3G cell phones with infinitely more practical uses are already evolving and energizing in miraculous ways, that can will only be hampered if you insist that they must be shaped like a newspaper.<BR/><BR/>ePaper, after all, really boils down to being a very thin eBook does it not? And if you missed it the Washington Post <A HREF="http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/12/04/AR2008120400597.html" REL="nofollow">had a story just last week</A> about how how unloved eBooks are relative to the iPod Touch.tacohttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01661344975130655338noreply@blogger.com