Friday, November 7, 2008

Election Results Retrospective

The day before the election, I predicted that Obama would win the popular vote by 6 percent and the electoral college with 382 electoral votes, leaving McCain with only 156.

Though the popular vote total isn't yet fully cemented at this point, the margin seems to be somewhere between 6 and 7 percent. And, as Missouri seems to have very narrowly tilted in McCain's favor, the electoral college numbers are 364 to 173. My only mistakes were putting Georgia and either North Dakota or Montana in Obama's column. In Georgia I was overly optimistic about Bob Barr's numbers. But overall I think my guesses were pretty good.

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